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- January 2010 (5)
Jan272010
Hammerfest Sun 70 40 ...
Hammerfest Sun 70 40 5
Spitzbergen Sun 79 49 56
Sun 55
Sun 58
Sun 59
Sun 55
Sun 50 1
Greenland Sun 74 32 19
Sun 17
Drontheim Sun 63 25 51
Alph
This presents a very different view of the latitudes as
determined by the small repeating circle, from that in Captain
Sabine's book; and confining ourselves still to Maranham, where
the latitudes "WERE OBTAINED, WITH ESPECIAL REGARD TO EVERY
CIRCUMSTANCE BY WHICH THEIR ACCURACY MIGHT BE AFFECTED," and
where "A MORE THAN USUAL ATTENTION WAS BESTOWED," it appears,
that if we take Captain Sabine's own test, namely, "the
differences of the partial results from the mean at each
station," the deviations become nearly ten times as large as they
were before; a circumstance which might be expected to have some
influence in the decision of the question
There is, however, another light in which it is impossible to
avoid looking at this singular oversight The second column of
the table of latitudes must now be considered the true one, as
that which really resulted from the observationsNow, on
examining the column of true latitudes, the differences between
the different sets of observations is so considerable as
naturally to excite some fear of latent error, more especially as
nearly the greatest discordance arises from the same star,
Alphyrae, observed after an interval of only three days It
becomes interesting to every person engaged in making
astronomical observations, to know what is the probability of his
being exposed to an error so little to be guarded against, and so
calculated to lull the suspicions of the unfortunate astronomer
to whom it may happen
In fact, the question resolves itself into this: the true
latitude of a place being determined by sets of observations as
in the first of the following columns--
Latitudes as
True latitudes observed computed by a mistake
of Capt
deg 44,0 44
what are the chances that, by one error all the latitudes in the
first column should be brought so nearly to an agreement as they
are in the second column? The circumstance of the number of
divisions of the level being almost arbitrary within limits,
might perhaps be alleged as diminishing this extraordinary
improbability: but let any one consider, if he choose the error
of each set, as independent of the others, still he will find the
odds against it enormous
When it is considered that an error, almost arbitrary in its law,
has thus had the effect of bringing discordant observations into
an almost unprecedented accordance, as at Maranham; and not
merely so, but that at eight of the nine stations it has
uniformly tended to diminish the differences between the partial
results, and that at the ninth station it only increased it by a
small fraction of a second, I cannot help feeling that it is more
probable even that Captain Kater, with all his admitted skill,
and that Captain Sabine himself, should have been both mistaken
in their measures of the divisions of the level, than that so
singular an effect should have been produced by one error; and I
cannot bring myself to believe that such an anticipation is
entirely without foundation
Whatever may be the result of a re-examination, it was a singular
oversight NOT TO MEASURE the divisions of a level intended to be
used for determining so important a question; more particularly
as, in the very work to which reference was made by Captain
Sabine for the purpose of comparing the observations, it was the
very first circumstance which occupied the French philosophers,
and several pages [See pages 265 to 275 of the RECUEIL
D'OBSERVATIONS GEODESIQUES,
Hammerfest Sun 70 40 5
Spitzbergen Sun 79 49 56
Sun 55
Sun 58
Sun 59
Sun 55
Sun 50 1
Greenland Sun 74 32 19
Sun 17
Drontheim Sun 63 25 51
Alph
This presents a very different view of the latitudes as
determined by the small repeating circle, from that in Captain
Sabine's book; and confining ourselves still to Maranham, where
the latitudes "WERE OBTAINED, WITH ESPECIAL REGARD TO EVERY
CIRCUMSTANCE BY WHICH THEIR ACCURACY MIGHT BE AFFECTED," and
where "A MORE THAN USUAL ATTENTION WAS BESTOWED," it appears,
that if we take Captain Sabine's own test, namely, "the
differences of the partial results from the mean at each
station," the deviations become nearly ten times as large as they
were before; a circumstance which might be expected to have some
influence in the decision of the question
There is, however, another light in which it is impossible to
avoid looking at this singular oversight The second column of
the table of latitudes must now be considered the true one, as
that which really resulted from the observationsNow, on
examining the column of true latitudes, the differences between
the different sets of observations is so considerable as
naturally to excite some fear of latent error, more especially as
nearly the greatest discordance arises from the same star,
Alphyrae, observed after an interval of only three days It
becomes interesting to every person engaged in making
astronomical observations, to know what is the probability of his
being exposed to an error so little to be guarded against, and so
calculated to lull the suspicions of the unfortunate astronomer
to whom it may happen
In fact, the question resolves itself into this: the true
latitude of a place being determined by sets of observations as
in the first of the following columns--
Latitudes as
True latitudes observed computed by a mistake
of Capt
deg 44,0 44
what are the chances that, by one error all the latitudes in the
first column should be brought so nearly to an agreement as they
are in the second column? The circumstance of the number of
divisions of the level being almost arbitrary within limits,
might perhaps be alleged as diminishing this extraordinary
improbability: but let any one consider, if he choose the error
of each set, as independent of the others, still he will find the
odds against it enormous
When it is considered that an error, almost arbitrary in its law,
has thus had the effect of bringing discordant observations into
an almost unprecedented accordance, as at Maranham; and not
merely so, but that at eight of the nine stations it has
uniformly tended to diminish the differences between the partial
results, and that at the ninth station it only increased it by a
small fraction of a second, I cannot help feeling that it is more
probable even that Captain Kater, with all his admitted skill,
and that Captain Sabine himself, should have been both mistaken
in their measures of the divisions of the level, than that so
singular an effect should have been produced by one error; and I
cannot bring myself to believe that such an anticipation is
entirely without foundation
Whatever may be the result of a re-examination, it was a singular
oversight NOT TO MEASURE the divisions of a level intended to be
used for determining so important a question; more particularly
as, in the very work to which reference was made by Captain
Sabine for the purpose of comparing the observations, it was the
very first circumstance which occupied the French philosophers,
and several pages [See pages 265 to 275 of the RECUEIL
D'OBSERVATIONS GEODESIQUES,
Jan082010
Jan062010
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